基于灰色关联分析模型的三明市林业产业结构调整研究

A Study on the Adjustment of Forestry Industrial Structure in Sanming City Based on Gray Correlation Analysis Model

从目前理论界的研究成果来看,三明市集体林权改革基本完成后,缺乏基于实地数据分析的林业产业结构变化研究。应用灰色关联分析方法研究了2005—2010年三明市集体林权改革基本完成以来其林业系统的产值结构,结果表明,2005—2010年三明市林业三大产业与林业产值的灰色关联度排序为第三产业<第一产业<第二产业。解释了产生此排序的原因,指出了三明市试验区林业产业结构调整存在的问题,并有针对性地提出相应的调整建议,这对巩固我国的集体林权改革成果,进一步深化改革有一定的借鉴价值。

A review of existing literature shows that since the collective forest tenure reform was basically completed in Sanming City, the field-based data analysis of structural changes in the forestry industry is inadequate. To study the output value structure of forestry industry of the Sanming City since it finished its reform mentioned above, this paper analyzes the 2005--2010 output values of the three industries and the total industry through the grey correlation analysis model . Result shows that grey correlations between the three forestry industries and the total forestry output value is ranked in the following order： tertiary industry 〈 primary industry 〈 secondary industry. This paper provides an explanation of the cause of such ranking, points out the problems in Sanming＇ s collective forest tenure reform, and finally comes up with some advice, which can provide some enlightenment for the strengthening and deepening of collective forest tenure reform in China.