服务业投入对我国工业离岸货物外包的影响——基于我国工业行业动态面板数据的理论和实证

Impact of Service Input on China's Offshore Goods Outsourcing:A Theoretical and Empirical Test Based on China's Industrial Dynamic Panel Data

在相关理论模型基础上,本文首先根据世界投入产出数据库(WIOD)中的数据计算了1995-2009年我国工业行业离岸货物外包率和服务业投入的变化,其次对服务业投入对我国工业行业离岸货物外包率的影响进行了实证检验,结果表明:我国工业行业离岸货物外包率呈上升趋势,资本密集型和技术行密集型行业的离岸货物外包率较高,资源密集型行业和具有公共产品性质的行业中服务业投入占总产出的比重较大;服务业总投入和运输、金融、通讯、商务服务四类服务投入对我国工业行业离岸货物外包率的影响为负,进口渗透率、人均固定资本存量对我国工业行业离岸货物外包率的影响为正,人均工资、全员劳动生产率对我国工业行业离岸货物外包率的影响为负。

Based on the theoretical model and drawing on the WIOD database,this paper first calculates the changes in the levels of China’s offshore goods outsourcing and service intermediate input from 1995 to 2009,and then makes comparative empirical tests of the two.The results show that Chinese offshore goods outsourcing is on a rising trend,with the offshore outsourcing of capital-intensive and technology-intensive more frequent than others and the service input rate in the resource-intensive industries and public industries higher than that in the others.The impacts of total service input transport,finance,communication,commerce business,labor productivity and personal wage on the Chinese offshore goods outsourcing are all negative,while the impact of import penetration rate and per capita fixed capital stocks on the Chinese offshore goods outsourcing are positive.