中国农村金融发展与经济增长良性互动的实证研究

Empirical Research of Rural Financial Development and Economic Growth in China

农村金融发展与经济增长具有密切关系。运用时间序列分析方法,对1990—2009年间中国农村经济增长与农村金融发展的关系进行实证研究。选取相应的中国农村经济与农村金融指标,建立向量自回归模型,揭示中国农村经济增长与农村金融发展之间的关系。从而得出,中国农村经济增长与农村金融的发展互为因果关系,两者相互促进。

Based on time serial analysis, this paper analyses the relationship between the rural financial development and farmer income growth in China over the period 1990 - 2009. The paper Selects the appropriate indicators to build VAR model, uses Granger causality test to reveal the relationship between them. The results show that the development of rural finance and the growth of rural economic are mutually reinforcing.