欧债危机的表现、影响、治理与展望

European Sovereign Debt Crisis: Performance,Impact,Governance and Prospect

文章主要通过对欧债危机的表现、影响、治理和展望四个方面的重点研究,对其进行了全景式的分析。首先,通过对危机中欧盟的经济、就业、财政、外贸、主权债务以及欧元汇率等问题的演化和特点的论述,描述了危机表现;其次分析了危机对欧盟及其新老成员国在一体化趋同性上的影响;再则,从紧急金融救助、重塑和稳固财政以及促进竞争力三个方向归纳总结了危机中欧盟经济治理方面所取得的成果;最后,对危机后的欧盟经济做出了谨慎乐观的前景预测,并给出了依据。

The current paper attempts to present a panoramic analysis of the European Sovereign Debt Crisis through the study in four major aspects, including the performance, impact, economic governance and prospect of the crisis. The first part discusses the performance of the crisis by giving an insight into the evolutionary characteristics of EU^s economic status, employment, government finance, foreign trade, sovereign debt, as well as euro exchange rates. The second part of the paper analyzes the crisis＇ impact on the convergence of integration among EU member states, old and new. Next, the main achievements of EU economic governance are summarized -- the financial rescue mechanisms, restoring fiscal sustainability and promoting competitiveness. At the end o{ this paper, we make a cautiously optimistic forecast of the outlook for post-crisis EU economy based on the analysis of some factors.