基于资产所有权的贸易统计方法与中美双边贸易额矫正

Trade Statistics Method Based on Asset Ownership and Sino-US Bilateral Trade Volume Correction

本文采用基于资产所有权的贸易统计方法,重新计算了中美双边贸易额,结果表明,相对于传统的贸易统计数据,2004—2010年中国对美国出口额平均减少了51%,而自美国的进口额平均增加了41%,贸易差额处于中方逆差21.89亿美元至中方顺差127.7亿美元之间,远小于传统统计方法计算的中美贸易差额。为反映中国真实对外贸易规模,有效应对中美贸易摩擦,中国有必要建立基于资产所有权的贸易统计体系。

This paper uses the trade statistics method based on asset ownership to calculate Sino US bilateral trade volume, and the results show that, compared with the traditional trade data, China＇s exports to the United States decrease by an average of 51%, while imports from the United States increase by 41% on average, trade balance is between China＇s trade deficit of 2. 189 billion U. S. dollar and China＇s trade surplus of 12.77 billion U. S. dollar during 2004 to 2010 which is far less than that of traditional statistical method. In order to reflect the true scale of China＇s foreign trade and effectively deal with Sino US trade friction, it is necessary for China to establish the trade statistics system based on asset ownership.