论户籍制度改革对城乡居民收入差距的影响——动态一般均衡分析

The Effects of Hukou System Reform on Rural and Urban Household Income——A Dynamic General Equilibrium Analysis

本文运用动态可计算一般均衡(CGE)模型并通过对城乡居民收入的分解,探讨户籍制度的进一步改革对中国经济增长以及城乡居民收入差距的影响。模拟结果显示,消除劳动力流动的制度壁垒会进一步促进农村劳动力向城市的转移,农村居民工资性收入较大幅度的提高会缩小城乡居民收入差距,同时加快中国宏观经济增长速度。虽然农村流动劳动力的工资水平会比基线有所下降,但仍将高于农业就业人员工资以及农村非农就业工人工资。

Applying a dynamic general equilibrium modelling approach and by decomposing rural and urban households＇ income,this paper explores the effects of fhrther reform of the hukiu registration system on China＇s economic growth and income inequality between rural and urban households. The simulation results show that the reduction of institutional barriers will enhance the movement of rural labor from agricultural and non-agricultural sectors to urban sectors. The increased labor movement will boost China＇s economic growth and the relatively faster increase in the wage paymem to the rural residents will narrow rural urban income gap. Even through the wage level of rural migrants will be slightly lower than the baselitm case, they are paid considerably better than agricultural arid rural non-agricultural workers.