中国首批低碳试点省份碳排放与经济增长脱钩关系研究

Decoupling Relationship Between Carbon Emissions and Economic Growth for Low Carbon Pilot Provinces in China

以广东、辽宁、湖北、陕西、云南等5个中国首批低碳试点省份2000—2011年的碳排放量、国内生产总值、能源消费总值为基础数据,运用脱钩模型计算,从节能、减排等比较分析这5个省份的碳排放与经济增长关系的联动情况。研究发现:在节能方面,辽宁、湖北比其他3省好,多数阶段处于弱脱钩、强脱钩状态;在减排方面,5省基本都较差,处于扩张连续状态。各省碳排放量大小与各省自身经济基础、产业结构、能源生产结构有着密切的关系,能源生产方式在很大程度上决定了碳排放量,产业结构与优势产业类型对地区碳排放量有较大影响,运用先进技术节能减排能够明显的减轻碳排放对环境造成的压力。

Based on low carbon emissions, Gross Domestic Product （GDP） and energy consumption data from five pilot provinces （ Guangdong, Liaoning, Hubei, Shaanxi, Yunnan ） , from 2000 to 2011, by decoupling model calculation, comparative analysis of energy conservation and emission reduction id made on the relation-ship between carbon emissions and economic growth .The study finds out that in terms of energy saving , Liaon-ing and Hubei are doing better than other three provinces, most in weak decoupling and strong decoupling.In terms of emissions, 5 provinces are poor in continuous expansion.Provincial carbon emissions are the difference of their economy and industrial structure .The structure of energy production and energy production mode deter-mine while carbon industrial structure advantage industry domain type of area has a great influence on carbon e-missions.The use of advanced technology for energy conservation can significantly reduce carbon emission pres-sure to the environment.