我国造纸工业出口与FDI的动态关系分析

Analysis of Dynamic Relationship between the Export of P&P Industry and FDI in China

运用1995～2011年的时间序列数据,实证分析了我国造纸工业出口与FDI之间的动态关系。结果表明,我国造纸工业出口与FDI之间存在长期均衡关系,并且FDI是造纸工业出口的Granger原因;虽然FDI对我国造纸工业的出口具有促进作用,但具有滞后性,且长期来看正向效应逐年递减。

Based on the time series data from 1995 to 2011, this paper analyzes the relationship between FDI and export scale of China P＆P industry. The results show as follows： there was a co-integration relationship between the export of P＆P industry and FDI in China, FDI was the Granger cause of export of P＆P industry; Though FDI promoted the export of P＆P industry, but it had a lag, and the positive effect had been descending year by year in the long run.