企业违约风险因素分析与模糊综合评价

Factor Analysis and Fuzzy Evaluation of Corporate Default Risk

通过比较当前违约风险主流评价方法的优劣 ,论证了选择模糊综合评价法分析违约风险的必要性 ,给出了企业流动性违约和战略性违约的定义 ,并分析了导致企业违约发生的几个主要因素 ,在此基础上 。

By comparing the weaknesses and strengths of current main default risk evaluation techniques, the necessity of using the integrated fuzzy method to analyze default risk is discussed. Then the definition of corporate liquidity default and strategy default is given. And also are analyzed seven critical factors that cause default risk. At last, based on the above, a default risk quantitative model by using the AHP-Fuzzy method is made.