基于恒定市场份额模型的中国医药化学品对美国出口增长因素分析

Analysis of Export Growth Factor of China's Pharmaceutical Chemicals to America Based on Constant Market Share Model

运用恒定市场份额模型,对2001-2012年中国医药化学品出口美国的贸易数据进行实证分析。研究表明,我国医药化学品出口增长主要依赖于美国市场需求的增长和产品出口结构的改善,而产品竞争力和交叉结构效应则是阻碍出口增长的主要因素。就如何提高产品竞争力、及时调整产品出口结构提出对策建议。

Based on the study of export of China＇s pharmaceutical chemicals export to America during 2001- 2012, this paper uses constant market share model to analyze the export growth factors. The results show that the increase of Chings pharmaceutical chemicals export to America partly results from the demand increase of the pharmaceutical chemicals in the American market, partly results from the rational export market reconstruction. While competitive effects and the structure overlapping factor are the main reason of slowdown of China＇s pharmaceutical chemicals export. Based on the above analysis, this paper suggests some measures to improve competitiveness and update the structures of export products.