季节性预测的组合灰色神经网络模型研究

Research on Combined Grey Neural Network Model of Seasonal Forecast

对于季节性时间序列具有增长性和波动性的二重趋势性 ,本文提出了季节性预测的组合灰色神经网络模型 ,研究了同时考虑两种 (非线性 )趋势的复杂季节性预测问题 ,给出了一个应用实例 ,为季节性预测提供了一种新的、有效的方法 .

Because the seasonal time sequence has the double trends of increasing and fluctuating, it is proposed for the combined grey neural network model of seasonal forecast. We study the problem of complex seasonal forecast with double nonlinear trends and give on application case. We provide a new and effective method for the seasonal forecast.