煤矿安全影响因素的系统动力学研究

Study on System Dynamics of Coal Mine Safety Impact Factors

基于煤矿安全生产系统的动态、非线性特点,采用系统动力学建模方法,研究发现煤矿安全系统中的影响因素,总共可分成7大类:设备因素、自然因素、员工因素、安全科技因素、安全管理因素、法律监督因素、经济因素。并分析各类因素之间的相互依存和影响关系,最后建立起煤矿安全影响因素的系统因果图。通过详细阐述安全模型的体系结构,全面分析了煤矿安全系统,为煤炭企业确立最优的安全管理与控制方案提供了新的研究思路,进而提高煤矿企业的安全生产水平。

Based on the dynamic and nonlinear ieatures of mine safety production system, the system dynamics is applied to study and find the influence factors in mine safety system in the paper. The study found that the system of coal mine safety factors can be divided into seven categorlcs, including equipment factors, natural factors, staff factors, Iaetors of salary technology, safety management fac- tors, legal supervision factors, economic factors. The paper analyszes the influence and interdependent relationship between each fac- tors, the causality diagram of complex system of mine safety influence factors is established at last. The paper states the system strut- tore of the safety model in detail, and comprehensively analyzes the coal mine safety system, it provides a new research thought for the coal enterprises to find the best safety management control scheme to improve safety production level of coal mine enterprises.