欧债危机对中国对欧出口的影响与路径分析

A Study on the Influence of the European Debt Crisis on the Transmission Mechanism of China-EU Trade

欧盟是中国主要的贸易伙伴和出口市场。随着欧债危机的持续发展,欧盟诸国经济复苏乏力,由此导致了欧盟市场需求减弱、对华直接投资与贸易融资减少、欧元大幅贬值,以及贸易保护主义抬头等问题,给中国对欧盟出口贸易带来很大冲击。本文根据历年中欧贸易的各项数据,对比分析了欧债危机发生以来中国对欧出口贸易额、出口欧盟所占总出口比重以及贸易竞争力指数变化的情况;从市场需求、贸易政策、贸易融资、直接投资、汇率波动这五个方面分析欧债危机对中国对欧出口贸易环境的影响。最后,本文对近期中国对欧出口贸易形势进行了展望。

The EU is one of China's major trading partners and export markets.The lasting European debt crisis and the fragile economic recovery in the EU countries have weakened the demands from the European market,reduced its foreign direct investment and trade financing in China,and given rise to a sharp depreciation of the Euro and growing trade protectionism,which constitute great challenges to China's exports to the EU.Based on trade data in the past years,this article analyzes the changes as to China's export volume to the EU,the percentage of Chinese export to EU to China's total exports and the Trade Competitiveness index since the outbreak of the European debt crisis.It also makes an analysis of the influences of the European debt crisis on China-EU export environment and in the concluding part makes a forecast on the prospect of China's export to the EU in the near future.