基于达州市中药物供应链风险控制模型

The Risk Control Model of Supply Chain on Drug in Dazhou

针对达州市中药物供应链风险控制问题,从内部风险、外部风险、全局风险三个角度,选择了产品合格率、气候条件等20个具体指标,通过层次分析法对20个指标在供应链风险中的权重大小进行了排序,筛选出对中药物风险影响权重最大的五个指标分别是:产品合格率、研发周期、现金周转时间、制造成本、气候条件,接着针对这五个指标如何控制中药物供应链风险提出了合理的建议。最后给出了中药物供应链风险的灰色预测。

For the problem on risk control of supply chain on drug in Dazhou, from the three angles of internal, external and global risk, we select 20 specific indicators which include qualified rate of products, weather conditions, and so on. Then we use analytic hierarchy process method to rank the weight of these indicators in the risk of supply chain, select 5 indexes： the rate of qualified products, the development cycle, cash turnover time, manufacturing costs, climatic conditions, with weight maximum for the drug risk, put forward the reasonable suggestions on how to control drug risk of supply chain for 5 indexes. Finally, the gray prediction of drug risk of supply chain is given.