服务贸易发展偏离—份额分析——以北京为例

The Study of Beijing Service Trade Based on SSM Method

对北京服务贸易规模与结构现状进行了归纳,分析表明,竞争力分量下降是考察期内年度总增量在波动中下降及总偏离分量由正变负的主要原因。此外,北京传统服务贸易项目增长更依赖于份额分量,新兴服务贸易项目中竞争力分量作用较为明显。这意味着:相对于全国服务贸易发展而言,北京服务贸易增长仍然较快,但主要驱动力量是规模,竞争力逐渐下降导致北京服务贸易发展相对增长率逐年走低。

In order to make a good insight on the Beijing service trade against the development of China＇ s inter- national trade on service, the paper summarizes the wholes scale and the structure of Beijing＇ s service trade. The a- nalysis of model dynamic gives further evidence ： the decline of competitiveness deviation is the main reason for the total incremental decline in volatility and the total deviation is becoming negative. The growth of traditional service trade is more dependent on the share component, but the function of competitiveness is more obviously in the emer- ging service trade project. This means that Beijing＇ s service trade still grows faster than national service trade, But the scale is the main driving force, and the competitiveness decline gradually which lead the relative growth rate de- cline year by year.