2013年经济形势分析与2014年经济形势判断

Analysis of Economic Performance in 2013 and Preliminary Evaluation of Economic Development in 2014

本文包括两部分内容,第一部分是对2013年经济形势进行分析,包括从生产和需求两个角度对2013年的经济增长形势进行分析;从季度、月度居民消费价格变动和居民消费价格变动与相关价格变动关系角度对2013年的通货膨胀形势进行分析;探讨2013年经济运行中的一些基本特点。第二部分是对2014年经济形势进行初步判断,包括从生产和需求两个角度对2014年经济增长形势进行初步判断;通过对影响居民消费价格变动的若干因素分析,对2014年通货膨胀形势进行初步判断。

This paper consists of two parts, of which the first one analyzes the economic performance in 2013, covering the economic growth performance from the perspective of production and demand, the inflation performance from the perspective of monthly and quarterly changes in CPI and the relationship between CPI changes and the relevant price changes, and an examination of fundamental characteristics of economic performance; the second one sheds light on the economic development in 2014, covering the economic growth trend from the perspective of production and demand; and the preliminary evaluation of inflation development based on the analysis on key factors which influence CPI.