摘要
把广泛应用于军事领域的态势评估技术应用到高速公路交通突发事件处理中,对事件态势进行评估,提高应急处置决策的准确性。通过分析高速公路交通突发事件的特性,采用分层贝叶斯网络,采取定性和定量相结合的方法,构建适用于高速公路交通突发事件的态势评估模型,并以河北省为例进行了实例分析。研究表明,该模型能够较为准确地评估突发事件当前状态,具有一定的实用价值。
In this paper, the situation assessment technology which is widely used in military is applied to highway traffic emergency processing to evaluate event situation and improve the accuracy of emergency decision-making. The characteristics of highway traffic emergency is analyzed and method of combining qualitative and quantitative analyses based on hierarchical Bayesian network is adopted to build the model adaptive to assessment of highway traffic emergency situation. Hebei province is taken as the case study, which results show that the model can assess the relatively accurate real situation of emergency and has certain practical value.
出处
《公路》
北大核心
2014年第3期117-124,共8页
Highway
基金
河北省交通运输厅科学技术项目
河北省山区高速公路交通突发事件应急保障体系研究
