经济控制论观点下的全球经济危机及其教训(类比研究与评论)——纪念控制论创始人诺伯特·维纳诞生120周年(1894–2014)

The global economic crisis and lessons drawn in the viewpoint of economic cybernetics(analogy study and review)——To commemorate the 120 anniversary of the birth of the founder of Cybernetics Norbert Wiener(1894–2014)

论文从控制论角度,采用其类比研究方法,分析全球经济大系统,探讨其构造及分解、控制结构、各级监控及经管目标、信息结构、控制策略以及子系统的控制与协调.论文以人造控制系统的不稳定性来从理论上表征经济系统的危机;并将分散控制下工程大系统稳定性及其子系统稳定性之间关系,应用到全球大经济系统危机的类比研究和分析,得出5个论点.论文对递阶控制的混合协调法,给予了经济学的解释.并阐明该法对混合经济宏观调控所具有的特点、优点和意义.最后基于上述研究论文列举从危机得出的一些教训.

From the cybernetics point of view and using analogy study,the paper analyses the global economic system,discusses its configuration and decomposition,control structure,monitoring and management objectives for different levels,information structure,control strategy as well as subsystem control and coordination.This paper theoretically characterizes the economic system crisis as the instability of man-made control system,and applies the relation between stability of engineering large-scale system and that of its subsystems to analogically study the global economic system crisis and obtains five arguments.Economic interpretation to the mixed coordination method is given.And its characteristics,advantages and significance to the mixed economy regulation are clarified.Finally based on above study the paper lists the lessons drawn from the crisis.