我国出口商品结构与环境污染关系的实证研究

An Empirical Research on the Relationship Between China's Export Mix and Environmental Pollution

对出口商品结构与环境污染的关系进行了理论及实证研究。通过构建数理模型推导了当一国处于经济发展的初期阶段时随着出口商品结构的优化会使环境污染恶化的结论,并利用中国1981—2010年的工业废气等相关数据进行了实证检验。实证研究结果表明:随着我国出口商品结构的不断优化,工业废气排放量不断增加,因此单纯靠优化出口商品结构来改善我国的环境污染水平是不可行的。

Theoretically and empirically, this study explores the relatlonsmp oe^ween export mix anu environmental pollution. By constructing the mathematical models, it is concluded that at the initial stages of a country＇s economic development, environmental pollution is likely to worsen as export mix gets optimized. By applying the data of China＇s industrial waste gas ranging from 1981 to 2010, the empirical test shows that the optimization of China＇s export mix has a positive ef{ect on the emission of industrial waste gas. Therefore, it is not feasible to lessen China＇s environment pollution by merely optimizing its export mix.