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Real Interest Rates,Real Wages and Economic Restructuring—Analysis Based on Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium(DSGE)

Real Interest Rates,Real Wages and Economic Restructuring—Analysis Based on Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium(DSGE)
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摘要 On the basis of research conducted by Long and Plosser(1983),this paper carries out an in-depth analysis on the relationship between real interest rates,real wage,and macro-economy and economic structure by simulating a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium(DSGE) model and comes to the following conclusions:(1) Increasing the level of real interest rates will expand the share of consumption in GDP,improve the macroeconomic structure,and promote steady economic development;(2) Increasing the level of real wages will enhance economic growth but will not change the economic structure of consumption and investments;(3) Increasing wages will enhance economic growth and expand its share in national income;(4) Increasing wages will not lower output level but will be favorable to the improvement of economic structure.Therefore,this paper argues for interest rates liberalization to achieve long-term,steady economic development in China. On the basis of research conducted by Long and Plosser (1983), this paper carries out an in-depth analysis on the relationship between real interest rates, real wage, and macro-economy and economic structure by simulating a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model and comes to the following conclusions: (1) Increasing the level of real interest rates will expand the share of consumption in GDP, improve the macroeconomic structure, and promote steady economic development; (2) Increasing the level of real wages will enhance economic growth but will not change the economic structure of consumption and investments; (3) Increasing wages will enhance economic growth and expand its share in national income; (4) Increasing wages will not lower output level but will be favorable to the improvement of economic structure. Therefore, this paper argues for interest rates liberalization to achieve long-term, steady economic development in China.
作者 金中夏
出处 《China Economist》 2014年第2期46-56,共11页 中国经济学人(英文版)
关键词 经济体制改革 利率 工资 随机 经济结构 宏观经济 经济增长 国民收入 interest rate, real wage, consumption, investment, economic structure
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参考文献17

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