区域旅游发展协调度的时空差异研究

The coordination in spatial-temporal variations of regional tourism development: A tourism system prospective

基于协调度理论及其用于旅游的常见模型,建立省旅游业多年发展协调度分析模型。利用1996-2010年全国旅游统计数据,从旅游供应、需求与支持三个方面分析了全国省域旅游业协调变化。结果表明,全国旅游业各要素协调水平中,有23个省份协调水平显著提高,5个协调水平下降,还有4个没有明显变化。此外,协调度地区差异依然明显,尤其是东部沿海与西部内陆,全国4个省份协调度处于高水平,7个较高水平,12个中等水平,5个较低水平和3个低水平。东部沿海省份多处于高协调水平,而西部内陆则多位于低协调水平。

Based on coordination theory derived from Synergetics theory and commonly used models in tourism, a model for analysis of China＇s tourism development coordination condition at provincial level has been established. And based on national tourism statistics during 1996-2010, an indicator system comprised of tourism supply, demand and support sub-system has been created for this purpose. Through analysis of the tourism coordination condition in the past 15 years, 23 provinces significantly improved their coordination condition, while 5 declined and 4 remained at the same level. Meanwhile, provincial difference remains evident, especially between eastern coastal provinces and western inland provinces. Four provinces are highly coordinated, 7 above average, 12 at average coordination level, 5 below average and 3 in the lowest condition. There are more eastern coastal provinces in the higher end of coordination spectrum and more western inland provinces in the lower end.