摘要
非竞争型投入产出模型区分了中间投入品中国内生产与进口来源.更为真实地反映加工贸易型经济体的产业关联。文章采用非竞争型投入产出模型计算出口拉动力系数与进口推动力系数,在此基础上合成外贸合理度指数。通过观察1995~2009年的我国外贸合理度指数的变化趋势.可以揭示我国经济结构转型特点,也为识别经济波动与贸易政策拐点等提供科学依据。
The non-competitive input-output model distinguishes between intermediate inputs in domestic and imported sources, in order to more truly reflect industrial linkages of processing trade-based economy. This paper applies the non-competitive input-output model to calculate the driving force coefficient of export and the pull power coefficient of import, and on this basis, proposes the reasonable index of foreign trade. Then by observing the reasonable index's variation tendency of China's foreign trade commodity structure from 1995 to 2009, it reveals China's economic restructuring features and provides a scientific basis for identifying the turning point of economic fluctuation and trade policy.
出处
《国际经贸探索》
CSSCI
北大核心
2014年第3期4-12,共9页
International Economics and Trade Research
基金
教育部哲学社会科学研究重大课题攻关项目(11JZD021)
国家自然科学基金项目(71173053)阶段性成果
关键词
非竞争型投入产出模型
拉动力系数
推动力系数
出口合理度指数
进口合理度指数
non-competitive input-output model
driving force coefficient
pull powercoefficient
export reasonable index
import reasonable index