期刊文献+

人民币汇率对就业的影响效应——基于1985-2011年数据的协整分析 被引量:2

下载PDF
导出
摘要 采用1985-2011年时间序列,基于协整理论,建立长期协整模型和误差修正模型,实证分析了我国人民币汇率对就业水平的影响。结果显示,人民币汇率与就业之间存在长期的协整关系,就业汇率长期弹性系数为0.32,而短期弹性约为0.155;人民币汇率的升值对就业有负效应,将抑制国内就业的增长。因此,目前人民币汇率的升值幅度不宜过大,以避免造成大量的就业收缩。
作者 余菊 邓昂
出处 《金融理论与教学》 2014年第1期12-14,共3页 Finance Theory and Teaching
  • 相关文献

二级参考文献13

  • 1Belke, A., 2000,"Exchange Rate Uncertainty and the German Labour Market: A Cointegration Application of the Autoregressive Distributed Lag Approach", http : //www. wiwi. uni - passau. de/lehrstuehle/ruebel/pwiw/belke. pdf.
  • 2Belke, A. & Goecke M., 1998, "A Simple Model of Hysteresis in Employment under Exchange Rate Uncertainty", Scottish Journal of Political Economy 46, 260-286.
  • 3Belke, A .& G? cke, M., 2001, "Real Options Effects on Employment: Does Exchange Rate Uncertainty Matter for Aggregation?" http: //www. ecomod. net/eonferenees/ecomod2002/ papers/goecke.pdf.
  • 4Belke, A. &Gros, D., 2002, "Designing EU-US Atlantic Monetary Relations: Exchange Rate Variability and Labour Markets", The World Economy, Vol.25: 789-814.
  • 5Belke, A. & Kaas, L., 2002, "The Impact of Exchange Rate Volatility on Labor Markets: Europe versus United States", Paper presented at the 2002 Meeting of the European Economic Association, Venice.
  • 6Buscher, Herbert S. & Claudia Stirboeek, 2000, " Exchange Rate Volatility Effects on Labour Markets", Intereconomics-Review of International Trade and Development, Vol. 35: 9-22.
  • 7Dixit, A., 1989, "Entry and Exit Decisions under Uncertainty", Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 97: 620-638.
  • 8Flaschel, P. , G. Gong and W. Semmler, 2001, "A Keynesian Econometric Framework for Studying Monetary Policy Rules", Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization, Vol. 46: 101-136.
  • 9Norbert M. Fiess, Marco Fugazza & William Maloney, 2002, "Exchange Rate Appreciations, Labor Market Rigidities, and Informality', http:// econ. worldbank.org/files/11782_wps2771.pdf.
  • 10Pindyck, R.S., 1991, "Irreversibility, Uncertainty, and Investment", Journal of Economic Literature, Vol. 29 : 1110-1148.

共引文献242

同被引文献5

引证文献2

相关作者

内容加载中请稍等...

相关机构

内容加载中请稍等...

相关主题

内容加载中请稍等...

浏览历史

内容加载中请稍等...
;
使用帮助 返回顶部