近10年中国农产品进出口情况及展望

Imports and Exports of China's Agricultural Products in the Past Decade and Their Prospects

2001年中国加入世界贸易组织(WTO)后,中国农产品的对外贸易渠道得到了极大的提高,农产品进出口贸易迅速增长。2003—2012年中国农产品进出口总额从403.6亿美元增至1 739.4亿美元,增长330.97%,农产品贸易由顺差25亿美元变为逆差489.4亿美元,逆差不断扩大的一个重要原因的是进出口金额与数量的变化方向不一致。2011年中国农产品进、出口增长对世界农产品增长的贡献率分别为5.3%和6.6%,表明中国已成为名副其实的农产品生产大国和贸易大国。预计2014年全球贸易量增长率为4.9%,中国进口、出口增长率将分别控制在10%和7%以内,中国农产品贸易大进大出的局面将有所改变,呈现稳步发展、适度增长的新格局。

The foreign trade channels of China＇s agricultural products have been improved and the import and export trade of China＇s agricultural products has been grown fast since China accessed to the World Trade Organization in 2011. Total value of China＇s agricultural products import and export in creased from 40.36 billion dollars in 2003 to 173.94 billion dollars in 2012, up 330.97 percent, in the same time trade deficit changed from -2.5 billion dollars to 48.94 billion dollars, whose one important reason was different change di- rections of value and import and export volume. In 2011, import and export growth of China＇s agricultural products accounted for 5.3 percent and 6.6 percent of global agricultural products growth respectively, which indicated China has been worth of the name of a big producer and trader. Look forward to 2014, global trade volume growth will be 4.9 percent, China＇s import and export growth will be less than 10 percent and 7 percent respectively, the great in and out pattem of China＇s agricultural products trade will change, and a new trade pattern of steady development and moderate increase will take on.