摘要
2013年中国农产品贸易总额持续增长,进口增速首次在入世后低于出口增速。进口方面,继续保持增长但增速回落,国内外价差和国内供需缺口仍是大宗农产品进口持续高位的主要原因。出口方面,蔬菜和水产品等优势产品出口恢复增长,水果出口增速放缓。预计2014年中国农产品进口激增态势将得到缓解,但在价差的作用下进口压力仍较大,进口额增速可能恢复到两位数;出口形势有望好转,但增速相对缓慢。由于进口基数较大且仍快速增长,预计农产品贸易逆差将进一步扩大。
China＇s agricultural products trade value kept increasing in 2013, with import growth rate higher than export growth rate for the first time after China acceding to WTO. From the aspect of import, the value remained increasing but growth rate fell, and the main reasons that caused bulk agricultural products imports ran in a high level was the price gap between international and domestic market as well as the gap between domestic supply and demand. As for export, superior products exports such as vegetable and aquatic products returned to growth, with growth rate of fruits slowing down. Looking forward to 2014, China＇s agricultural products imports will not be so booming as that of 2013, but still be under the pressure caused by the price gap, and the growth rate of import value will be in double figures. The situation of exports will be better, but the growth rate will be slow. Trade deficit of agricultural products will enlarge for great cardinal number and high growth rate of imports.
出处
《农业展望》
2014年第2期59-63,共5页
Agricultural Outlook
关键词
农产品
贸易
发展特点
展望
agricultural products
trade
development characteristic
prospect
