近10年我国城镇化与工业化协调发展研究

Research on the Coordinated Development of Urbanization and Industrialization in the past 10 years

城镇化与工业化是我国社会经济发展的必然趋势。通过搜集2001年到2012年的统计年鉴数据,运用指标正向化方法、变异系数法等构建了城镇化综合系数、工业化综合系数以及协调度模型,计算并评价了2000年到2011年我国以及四大经济区域和各省市的城镇化与工业化的协调性。研究结果表明:我国从2000年到2011年城镇化和工业化以及二者的协调度系数都是处于上升发展阶段,由低水平向高水平发展,由严重失调向优质协调发展;东部地区的协调发展程度最高,中部地区和东北地区发展程度相差无几,而西部地区的协调发展程度最低,四大经济区域城镇化与工业化协调发展呈现出梯级结构;2000年到2011年各省份城镇化与工业化发展呈现出明显的地区差异,与四大经济区域差异相呼应,并且协调度与该地区的经济发展水平成正相关性。

Urbanization and industrialization is the inevitable trend of social and economic develop- ment in our country. Through the statistical yearbook from 2001 to 2012 and data collection, u- sing positive method and variation coefficient method to construct the comprehensive coefficient of urbanization and industrialization and coordination degree model, calculate and evaluate the coordination coefficient of urbanization and industrialization of the four major economic zones and all provinces over a period of time from 2000 to 2011. The results show that the scale of urbaniza- tion and industrialization and the coordination coefficient is rising both are in the rising stage of de- velopment, from low- level to high - level, from severely unbalanced to high - quality. The coor- dinated development of urbanization and industrialization of the four major economic zones pres- ents a cascade structure that the degree of coordinated development of the eastern part is the highest, the central and northeastern part comparatively lower and the western part the lowest. The urbanization and industrialization development of all provinces in 2011 shows great disparity and coincides with four big regional economic differences, coordination degree are positively cor- relation with the level of economic development in the region.