基于SD的战时装备维修器材消耗预测模型

Prediction Model of Equipment Maintenance Material Consumption in War Based on System Dynamics

从影响战时装备维修器材消耗的主要因素入手,基于系统动力学方法构建了战时装备维修器材消耗的SD模型。通过对模型的运行与仿真得到了装备维修器材的消耗数据,验证了模型的适用性和方法的可行性,为科学预测战时装备维修器材消耗、做好维修器材保障工作提供了新的方法指导。

This paper firstly analyzes the influence factors of equipment maintenance material consumption in war, then a system dynamics model of equipment maintenance material consumption is constructed on this basis. Through operation and simulation on computer, equipment maintenance material consumption data are obtained, and applicability and feasibility of the model are also be validated, which proposes a new method of scientifically predicting equipment maintenance material consumption and doing equipment maintenance material support lob in war.