政策性金融对农业经济增长的影响研究

Research of the Impact of Policy Finance on Agricultural Economic Growth

笔者选取了华东、华中、西北、华北、西南、东北和华南7个地区,通过投入—产出函数的基本模型和拓展模型,实证分析了农业政策性金融对农业经济增长,以及对劳动力、资本、农机、水利等农业生产要素的影响。结果表明:政策性金融对农业经济增长有一定的影响,但是存在区域差异。只有因地制宜,才能最大限度地发挥政策性金融对农业经济增长的促进作用。

Based on seven areas, including East China, Central China, North China, Southern China and southwest, northwest, north- east regions, this passage builds an input-output basic and expanded model and empirically analyzes the influence of the agricultural fi- nancial policy on economic growth of agriculture and some agriculture growth factors, such as agricultural labor, capital, farm machin- ery, water conservancy and so on. Through the above arguments, it is to prove whether the rural policy finance has effect on agricuhur- al economic growth and whether the effect shows regional differences. Estimation results show that： policy finance has some influence on the growth of agricultural economy, but the effect is not always significant. The influence on production factors reflect regional differ- ences： in Central China, the labor factor shows significant crowding-in effect while in farmland scale, the effect is more significant in North China; in agricultural machinery, the results are significant in East China and northeast region; and in the rural commercial fi- nance productivity, apparent crowding-out effect is showed in Southern China, in southwest and northeast regions. This paper argues that in order to maximize the promotion, we have to adapt to its own local conditions.