国家崛起与信任状态:一项研究议程

Research Proposal on Rise of Nations and Mutual Trust

一般认为,国家崛起与外部信任构建过程并不具有兼容性,崛起国与主导国之间一定会产生某种程度的猜忌和疑虑。国际关系的信任理论则认为,这种疑虑关系属于一种工具信任形态,并未排除基本信任成分。按照信任关系发展的基本层度,在工具信任、情感信任之间可以建立"关系信任"的状态,本文尝试从关系本位出发,构建关于崛起与信任之间的关系理解框架,探究二者同向展开的可能性。最近20年中美信任关系的演进过程已证实:安全崛起的良善前景,关键在于持存关系信任,重视共在策略,增续情感成分,调整相互预期,避免长期滞留于低信任层度。

Nation＇s rise and construction of external trust are generally believed to share no compatibility. When it comes to relations between rising power and dominant power, some degree of suspicions and fears must be observed. However, in international relations theory of trust, mutual distrust would be better explained within category of instrumental trust, or distrust relations still embrace basic trust elements rather than exclude them. Between instrumental trust and affeetive trust, it is possible to introduce relational trust to gain a new vision on the problem of safe rise. For the benign prospect of Sino - U. S. relations, it＇s essential to maintain relational trust status by gaining sentimental element, adjusting mutual expectation towards coexistence and avoiding instrumental drawbacks.