我国通货膨胀状况与经济发展的相关性实证分析

Empirical Analysis of the Correlation between Inflation and Economic Growth of China

通货膨胀与经济发展之间存在密切的相关关系,在此以居民消费价格指数(CPI)衡量通货膨胀,实证分析通货膨胀与我国经济发展的相关性。研究结果表明,我国通货膨胀状况与经济增长之间存在长期稳定的均衡关系,短期内通货膨胀可以促进经济增长,但若通货膨胀持续蔓延和恶化,会对经济增长会产生不利影响。协调通货膨胀与经济增长关系,需寻求通货膨胀与经济增长间的平衡,在保持合理经济增长速度的同时,防范高通货膨胀的发生。

There is close relationship between inflation and economic development. In this article, the author will use the consumer price index （CPI） to measure inflation and empirical analyze the relationship between the inflation and economic growth of China. The results show that a long-term stable and balanced relationship exists between the inflation and economic growth, which is the inflation in the short term can contribute to economic growth, however, if inflation continues to spread and aggravation will bring adverse effects to economic growth. How to coordinate the relationship between inflation and eco- nomic growth require us to seek balance between inflation and economic growth. We need to prevent high inflation while maintain a reasonable economic ~rowth.