中国崛起背景下的周边格局变化与战略调整

China's Rise,Structural Evolution of Its Neighboring Regions and Its Strategic Adjustment

中美邻相时实力和利益关系的变化,导致东亚地区从互利、兼容的二元格局走向竞争、相斥的二元格局。中美互动关系从注重追求相对经济收益的正和博弈,逐渐向以权力竞争和相对国际影响力为目标的零和博弈转变,中国与周边关系演变为与美国及其联盟体系之间的战略互动关系。未来东亚秩序的走势取决于中美两国战略选择,及其与地区公共利益之间的互动关系。面对周边力量与利益格局的变化,主动塑造一个以我为主、具有自我扩展和深化能力的周边合作秩序,以获得与中国实力增长相称的影响力,是中国作为大国实现民族复兴的战略需要。中国周边战略正在向主动作为的大方向调整。在这一过程中,中国要努力构造以国家利益为核心、同时惠及周边的地区秩序,将共同发展、开放竞争和相互包容这三个核心理念融入到包括政治、安全、经济和社会文化领域在内的整套周边战略思路中。

Due to changes in the strength and interests of China,its neighboring regions,and the US have led to a dual-structure in East Asia that evolves from being mutually beneficial and co-existent to one centered on competition and mutual exclusion.The engagement between China and US has shifted from a positive-sum game aimed at relative economic benefits to a zero-sum game targeted at power competition and relative international influence.Therefore,China's relationship with its neighbors has transformed into an interactive relationship with the US and its alliance system.The future order in East Asia hinges on the strategic choices of China and the US and their interactions with regional public interest.Given the changes in the power and interest structure in its neighboring regions,China should take the initiative to establish a regional cooperative order that is centered on China' s interest and can be expanded and upgraded in the future so that it can have an influence that is in line with its growing strength.It is a strategic requirement for China,which is a major power,to realize national rejuvenation.China is making its regional strategy more active.In that process,China needs to make efforts to build a regional order that is centered on its national interest while benefiting its neighbors,so that the three core concepts of mutual development,open competition and mutual inclusion can be incorporated into the whole regional strategy framework that has political,security,economic,social and cultural implications.