新安江模型理论研究的进展与探讨

A Discussion on Advances in Theories of Xinanjiang Model

回顾了新安江模型发展的历程,指出在具有物理基础的分布式水文模型发展遭遇理论瓶颈的背景下,可重新审视新安江等概念性模型的重要作用和地位。文章介绍了近年来新安江模型在结构、理论方法及应用等方面取得的进展,认为新安江模型是一个不断发展的模型理论体系。新安江模型理论的创新首先需秉承其理论的特色,即蓄满产流及以统计曲线形式表达的部分产流的概念,可用山坡水文的理论和发现指导模型创新,并采取野外实验、理论分析与计算机建模三者并重的理念。

The development history of the Xinanjiang model was reviewed in this study.It was noted that we should re-understand the importance of the model as recent physically-based distributed hydrologic models were encountering theoretical bottleneck.In this paper,recent advances in model structure,theories and methods,application fields were introduced,and it was pointed that the Xinanjiang model is a developing model system.The presupposition for any innovations to this model is that the core theories of it should be remained,e.g.,the excess storage conception and the statistical curve for describing the variable contribution area conception.We should pay more attention to hillslope experiments and findings,and field works,theoretical analysis and simulations are all important for further development of the Xinanjiang model,and all these three factors should be in concordance with each other.