汉建安二十四年蜀失荆州所遗历史悬案解析

Han Jian Shu lost twenty-four unsolved analytical Jingzhou history left behind

汉建安二十四年(219年)关羽进攻襄樊并非破坏诸葛亮分兵北伐战略的擅自行动,而是为完成隆中"跨有荆、益"战略而发动的最后之役。诸葛亮于隆中为刘备设定的有生之年入主中原的时间表,以及刘氏集团以曹氏集团为恒敌的北定中原匡复汉室这一政治目标,均不利于蜀汉在三国博弈中的战盟策略变换,加之蜀国在时空上的诸多不利,导致了蜀汉始于失荆州的一系列失败。刘备和诸葛亮不救关羽是因为存在两难问题:其一,与吴开战既无胜算把握,亦有违联吴抗曹的生存策略;其二,不好处置关羽。

Han Jian 24 years （219 years） Zhuge Liang Guan offensive Xiangfan not divide our forces de-stroyed the Northern Expedition strategy without action , but for the complete Long in ＆quot;Cross with Jing , Yi＆quot;strategy and launched the final Battle .Liu Bei, Zhuge Liang set in Long lifetime for a timetable for the Central Plains, and the Lau Group to the Group for the constant enemy Cao scheduled for the North Central Plains Han Dynasty Kuangfu this political goal , not conducive to Shu in the Three Kingdoms game Zhanmeng transforma-tion strategy , coupled with the many Shu disadvantage in time and space , resulting in a loss of Jingzhou Shu began a series of failures .Liu Bei, Guan Yu and Zhuge Liang does not save because there is a dilemma：First, grasp the odds and Wu neither war , anti-Cao Wu also violates the Union strategy for survival;Second, the bad disposition Guan Yu .