论提高劳动收入份额对我国经济增长的影响--基于巴杜里-马格林模型的实证研究

The Impact of Increasing the Share of Labor Income on Economic Growth in China——An Empirical Research Based on Bhaduri-Marglin Model

本文立足巴杜里-马格林(Bhaduri-Marglin)模型,构建了有关劳资分配影响经济增长的计量经济模型,并通过分析1978-2012年的时间序列数据,实证地考察了提高我国劳动收入份额对经济增长率的潜在影响。结果表明,现阶段我国呈现"工资拉动增长"的类型,劳动收入份额提高对消费需求增长率的促进作用明显超过它对投资和净出口增长率的抑制作用,因而总体上会促进经济增长,公平与效率的目标相容。要实现"扩内需、稳增长、调结构",关键在于建立一套有助于提升劳动收入份额的制度体系和调控手段。

The paper establishes an econometric model concerning the impact of factor income distribution on economic growth based on Bhaduri-Marglin model. Then by formulating the econometric model and analyzing time series data from 1978 to 2012, the paper makes an empirical research into the impact of labor share on economic growth in China. It finds that the positive effect of labor income share on consumption demand growth is much more than its negative effect on investment and net export growth, so that growth in China is wage-led at present, which means increasing labor share promotes growth, and the goals of e- quality and efficiency supports each other. The key to ＂Stabilizing growth, expanding domestic demand and optimizing structure＂ is to establishing a set of pro-labor institutions and regulation tools.