寻计残疾人家庭脱贫与小康建设——基于中残联抽样调查数据的实证研究

A Solution to Poverty Alleviation of Disabled Households and the Construction of a Well-off Society:Empirical Research Based on CDPF Data

文章借助世界银行的家庭贫困脆弱性定义和家庭消费理论,使用2007—2012年残疾人联合会抽样调查数据,对7 266个家庭户混合横截面数据进行了消费模型估计和贫困脆弱性计算,并对2010年国务院"两个建设"政策进行了效果评价。研究发现,该项政策实施后,残疾人家庭贫困脆弱性整体上明显降低。智力残疾、教育水平低、生活在西部地区以及农村的残疾人所在家庭贫困脆弱性较高,这种特性决定了政府在制定和贯彻残疾人扶持政策过程中应分类规划、区别对待。

Based on the definition of household vulnerability to poverty from the Word Bank and household consumption theory, this paper estimates a consumption model and calculates the vulnerability to poverty in China based on the pooled cross-sectional data of 7 266 households from China Disabled Persons＇ Federation from 2007 to 2012. Then it evaluates the effects of the policy of guidance on accelerating the disabled persons＇ social security system and service system construction promoted by the State Council in 2010. It comes to the following conclusions： first- ly, after the implementation of this policy, the overall level of vulnerability to poverty in disabled households decreases obviously;secondly, the vulnerability to poverty in disabled households with intellectual disabilities,low education level and the location in western or rural regions is higher, which means that governments need to increase flexibility and diversity when designing and im- plementing the policy supporting disabled persons.