摘要
本文分别运用灰色数列预测和灰色关联分析两种数学方法对黑龙江省俄入境旅游人数进行预测和影响因素分析。根据研究结果判断黑龙江省未来5年俄入境旅游人数和对俄旅游发展态势,并对黑龙江省俄入境旅游人数的各项影响因素的关联度进行排序,明确直接因素和间接因素、主要因素和次要因素。
This paper use the Grey System Forecasting and Gray relational analysis, focus on the prediction of Sino-Russian tourist arrivals forecasting and the main influencing factor of it. Value the importance of each factor. With those study results above, we determine the Russian tourist arrival and its development trend of next five years in Heilongjiang.
出处
《边疆经济与文化》
2014年第3期29-32,共4页
The Border Economy and Culture
基金
国家自然科学基金资助项目(41340023)
