我国体育用品制造业进出口贸易与企业生产率关系研究——基于2003-2012年数据的实证分析

Research on the Relationship Between Import& Export Trade and TFP in Sports Goods Manufacture ——An Empirical Study Based on Data through 2003-2012

文章以2003年、2012年我国体育用品制造业进出口贸易和企业投入产出数据为分析样本,首先利用索洛残差法对我国体育用品制造业企业全要素生产率进行了测算,随后采用时间序列回归模型考察了进出口贸易与企业全要素生产率的关系。结果表明:我国体育用品制造业企业全要素生产率增速呈现来回波动态势;出口贸易是我国体育用品制造业全要素生产率变化的主要因素,两者呈现正相关,支持"出口学习效应",进口贸易则相反;R&D投入增长较快,但只增加了技术知识存量,并没有有效地转化为全要素生产率的提高,资本投入-产出比阻碍了全要素生产率的提高。根据上述结果,文章探讨了这一结果的形成原因并给出了政策启示。

This paper uses China sports goods import＆ export trade and the enterprise input-output data as the analysis samples, calculating the TFP by slow, and then, uses the time series regression model to examine the relationship between import＆ export and TFP. The results shows that： the sports goods manufacturing enterprise TFP growth rate shows back and forth; export trade is the main factor to the TFP change, and shows a positive correlation, while import trade is the opposite; R＆D growth is fast, however, which only increases the stock of technical knowledge, and doesn＇t effectively translate into the increasing of TFP, and capital input-output blocks the increasing of TFP. Based on these results, the paper discusses the causes and gives the pohcy implications.