外贸发展推动下的人民币国际化

Development of International Trade and the RMB Internationalization

随着经济实力的增强,人民币国际化成为我国的战略走向。货币国际化可以通过国际贸易发展推动路径或/和国际金融发展促进路径两大方式实现。相比于倚重金融投资推进人民币国际化进程,基于贸易角度发展是一个长期的较为稳定的过程,人民币国际化通过贸易发展路径得以实现是优先之选,贸易规模、贸易结构、贸易模式和贸易风险都在不同程度上影响着人民币国际化进程。我国应该继续推动对外贸易规模增长,调整贸易结构,提升贸易模式,但是不应贸然增大贸易风险。在国际贸易稳步发展下,我国是可以实现人民币渐进式国际化的。

Along with the rapid growth of China~ economy, the RMB internationalization is the national strategy for China to take. The internationalization path of currency can either go through foreign trade or financial liberalization. It is more stable in the long run for the currency to be intemationalized with the development of international trade, which should be given priority other than the channel of financial liberalizations. Trade volumes, trade structures, trade patterns and trade risks shape the progress of RMB internationalization in different ways. We argue that China should continue to promote the volumes of import and exports with adjusting the trade structure and trade patterns, but should not hastily increase trade risks through financial liberalization. With steadily developing international trade, China can intemationalize its currency through this incremental approach.