摘要
针对水库调度的风险问题， 探讨了定性风险分析方法和定量风险分析方法， 着重探讨了定量风险分析方法中的概率与数理统计分析法、模拟分析法、马尔柯夫过程分析法和模糊数学分析法。引入了不同的风险决策方法， 并结合实例进行了分析计算。
With an aim at the risk problem in reservoir operation, this paper discusses the risk analysis methods of both quality and quantity, and put stress on the analysis of probability and statistics in quantity risk analysis method, simulation analysis method, Malkof process analysis method and fuzzy maths, and analysis method, etc. Also, this paper introduces the different risk decision method, and determines risk classes and conducts analytical calculation in combination with actual example.
出处
《西安理工大学学报》
CAS
1999年第4期6-10,共5页
Journal of Xi'an University of Technology
关键词
水库调度
风险分析
风险决策
风险级别
reservoir operation
risk analysis
risk decision
risk class
