基于Theil指数的我国区域物流差异发展趋势研究

Research on the Unbalanced Development Trend of China's Regional Logistics Based on Theil Index

文章以我国31个省级区域物流为研究对象,结合Theil指数模型构建了分析区域物流差异发展趋势的模型,并借助2001～2011年统计数据进行了实证分析,结合区域经济差异相关指数,剖析了区域物流差异发展的趋势.研究结果表明,相关政策的颁布与实施对区域物流差异发展具有很大影响：区域经济发展基础对区域物流发展差异程度会产生一定的干扰;区域物流发展可在一定程度上弱化区域经济的极化;各地区应当首先关注内部差异问题,再考虑向外部拓展的发展模式;发展的目标并不是完全消除差异,而是分析如何在差异中寻找发展机遇.

Taking regional logistics in 31 provinces in China as the research objects and combining the Theil index model, the author establishes a model to analyze the unbalanced development of regional logistics; with the help of statistic data during 2001 to 2011, the author carries our an empirical research and combining the related index of regional economic difference, the author also analyzes the unbalanced development trend of regional logistics. It shows that, the introduction of relation policies has significant impact on the unbalanced development of regional logistics; the foundation of regional economic development will disturb the difference level of regional logistic development; to some extent, regional logistic development will weaken the polarization of regional economy; different regions should give priority to their internal differences and then the external expansion.