京津风沙源治理区农户退耕还林成果保持意愿及影响因素研究——以山西省大同县为例

Study on the Farmer's Willingness to Maintain the Results from Returning the Grain Land to the Forestry and the Affecting Factors ——A case Study in Datong County, Shanxi Province

根据京津风沙源治理区山西省大同县196户农户调查数据,通过建立Probit和Logit模型,分析了农户退耕成果保持意愿及影响因素。结果表明,受访农户中愿意维护退耕成果的农户占45.9%,退耕成果巩固的难度依然较大;受访者受教育程度、人均年收入等13个变量对农户退耕成果保持意愿具有显著影响,农户退耕成果保持与否主要取决于土地利用收益的比较。

Based on the survey data from 196 farmer households in Datong County, Shanxi Province, the paper analyses the farmer＇s willingness to maintain the results from the project and affecting factors by applying Probit and Logit models. The analysis shows that there is a bigger difficulty in maintaining the results from the project because only 45.9% farmer interviewers are willing to do so. It also shows that 13 variables including educational background and anural income have significant effects on the willingness to maintain the results from project, and whether the farmers will do that is mainly decided by the comparison among the benefits from different land using.