电力市场中差异化策略的两组动态古诺模型的分析

Analysis of Two Groups Dynamic Cournot Model for Differentiated Strategy in Electricity Market

为了模拟电力市场中发电商采取不同策略的博弈行为,将由2家有限理性特征的发电商和1家自适应调整特征的发电商组成的2组动态古诺模型引入电力市场中,运用非线性理论对模型的均衡点进行分析,通过数值模拟得到当自适应调整的发电商加大调整速度时系统会提前进入混沌状态,同一团队适当的利润分配以及参数的变化有利于系统的稳定性,并给出了现实的解释。

In order to simulate game behaviors for different strategies used by power generators in electricity market, this paper introduces two groups of dynamic Coumot Model consisting of two limited power companies with rationality feature and one power company with self-adaptation feature into power market, uses nonlinear theory to analyze the equilibrium point of the Model, obtains that the system can enter chaos state in advance when the power company with self-adaptation feature enlarges its adjusting speed through numerical simulation and that proper profit distribution and parameter change in the same group are conducive to the stability of the system, and gives practical explanation.