摘要
In this paper,a reaction-diffusion system is proposed to investigate avian-human influenza.Two free boundaries are introduced to describe the spreading frontiers of the avian influenza.The basic reproduction numbers rF0(t)and RF0(t)are defined for the bird with the avian influenza and for the human with the mutant avian influenza of the free boundary problem,respectively.Properties of these two time-dependent basic reproduction numbers are obtained.Sufficient conditions both for spreading and for vanishing of the avian influenza are given.It is shown that if rF0(0)<1 and the initial number of the infected birds is small,the avian influenza vanishes in the bird world.Furthermore,if rF0(0)<1 and RF0(0)<1,the avian influenza vanishes in the bird and human worlds.In the case that rF0(0)<1 and RF0(0)>1,spreading of the mutant avian influenza in the human world is possible.It is also shown that if rF0(t0)>1 for any t0>0,the avian influenza spreads in the bird world.
In this paper,a reaction-diffusion system is proposed to investigate avian-human influenza. Two free boundaries are introduced to describe the spreading frontiers of the avian influenza. The basic reproduction numbers rF 0(t) and RF 0(t) are defined for the bird with the avian influenza and for the human with the mutant avian influenza of the free boundary problem,respectively. Properties of these two time-dependent basic reproduction numbers are obtained. Sufficient conditions both for spreading and for vanishing of the avian influenza are given. It is shown that if rF 0(0) 1 and the initial number of the infected birds is small,the avian influenza vanishes in the bird world. Furthermore,if rF 0(0)〈 1 and RF 0(0) 〈1,the avian influenza vanishes in the bird and human worlds. In the case that rF 0(0) 〈1 and RF 0(0) 〈1,spreading of the mutant avian influenza in the human world is possible. It is also shown that if rF 0(t0)≥1 for any t0 ≥0,the avian influenza spreads in the bird world.
基金
supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.11071209)
Basic Science Research Program through the National Research Foundation of Korea funded by the Ministry of Education,Science and Technology(Grant No.2010-0025700)
Natural Science Foundation of the Higher Education Institutions of Jiangsu Province(Grant No.12KJD110008)