基于AHP的合资铁路运营管理模式选择

Selection of operation and management models of joint venture railway based on AHP

分析了中国合资铁路的4种运营管理模式的特征及其适应性,从融资能力、基础条件、线网特征、政策环境及发展能力等影响因素出发,对不同管理模式进行了比较;引入层次分析法(AHP),探讨了选择合资铁路管理模式的方法;最后以西延合资铁路为例,通过调查数据定量分析,表明委托运输管理模式的优先级权重达到0.425,比次优级的权重高1倍,现阶段采取委托运输管理模式是较为理想的方案。

Regarding four kinds of operation and management models of China joint venture railway and the existing problems, the paper analyzes the characteristics and adaptabilities of different operation and management models. Starting from various influential factors, such as financing capability, basic conditions, network features, policy and development ability, the paper also compares different management models and introduces analytic hierarchy process （AHP） to explore the method for the selection of management models. Taking the railway from Xi＇an to Yah＇an for example, the paper, based on survey data and quantitative analysis, demonstrates that the priority weight of entrusting transportation management reaches 0. 425, which is twice as high as sub-prime weight. Therefore it is better to adopt entrusting transportation management model at present.