男青年成婚难的社会影响及扩散机制

On the Social Impacts and Diffusion Mechanism of the Young People's Difficulties in Marriage

我国社会正面临日益严峻的男青年成婚难问题,在偏远落后地区更是呈连片集中之势。这一问题将会给社会造成多方面的影响,如增加社会福利与健康成本;社会管理与治安维护将更为严峻;有可能加剧阶层分化,引发社会矛盾与冲突;民族地区的这类现象可能引发民族问题,不利于民族团结;妨碍经济发展;导致成婚难问题恶性循环。这些影响间的关联会加重某些影响的程度,而通过媒介效应、蝴蝶效应、流动与平衡机制,这些影响将会扩展至更广泛的区域。

Our country is now encountered with an increasingly serious problem ,that is ,some young people have difficulties in their marriage ,especially in some remote and backward areas .This problem will bring about a variety of impact to the society ,such as the increase of social welfare and health costs ;a more severe condition in social governance and public security ;a possibly acute separa-tion of classes which would cause social contradictions and conflicts ;if happening in ethnic regions ,it could lead to ethnic problems ,w hich is not conducive to national unity ;a barrier to the economic de-velopment ;and a vicious circle of difficult marriage .These correlations will aggravate some effects to a certain degree ,and expand to wider areas through the media effect ,the butterfly effect ,and flow and balance mechanism .