低收入住房政策模式选择的中央一地方差异——基于网络分析法(ANP)的决策模型分析

Central-Local Divergence in Love-in- come Housing Policy Approach-De- cision Modeling Analysis Using the Analytic Network Process

2003年以来,中国经历了新一轮住房政策调整,低收入住房问题作为一项民生工程被纳入政策议程中。本文回顾了低收入住房政策的国际经验,在实地调研和深度访谈的基础上,应用网络分析法（Analytic NetworkProcess）和成本—收益分析方法（Cost-Benefit Analysis）,构建了一个中国低收入住房政策模式的决策模型,分别对中央政府和地方政府的决策过程进行了分析,探讨了在低收入住房政策领域的中央地方差异及其机制,在此基础上提出了政策建议。

Low-income housing as a key social issue has received increasing atten- tion from not only policy makers but also the public. As the economic and suitable housing policy （jingji shiyong zhufang zhengce ） received much criticism, the policy debate became focus on searching for a more appropriate approach to pro- mote low-income housing for transitional urban China. In this paper, the author applies the analytic network process, a multi-criteria decision making tool, and combines with cost-benefit analysis to ex- plore the prioritization of various policy proposals from the perspective of policy decision makers, i.e. government offi- cials. In particular, the author focuses on the extent and source of diverse interests and preferences between central and local governments when they evaluate diffe- rent low-income housing policy models. Such analysis not only facilitates better understanding of Chinese housing policy making, but also provides the basis for further recommendations to mitigate such divergence between various levels of gove- rnment so as to ensure better policy im- plementation at the local level, which is key to achieve desired policy outcome.