基于“三圈理论”的“绿色新政”推进战略论析

Research on Promotion Strategy for the“Green New Deal” Based on the“Three-Circle”Theory

党的十八提出"要把生态文明建设放在突出地位,着力推进绿色发展、循环发展、低碳发展,努力建设美丽中国,实现中华民族永续发展"的建设生态文明的长久大计。同时,中央领导也曾多次提出,要抓住低碳时代的发展机遇,大力推进"绿色新政",发展绿色经济。为此,通过在"三圈"理论视角下,对"绿色新政"进行相关的价值、能力和支持分析,并运用情景分析法构建我国实施"绿色新政"的三圈因素发展情景,剖析我国"绿色新政"实施现状,提出以评估、强化、协同、突围、持续为核心的五战略轮轴模型,推动我国政府"绿色新政"的轮动效应。

The 18th National Congress of the Communist Party of China （CPC） put forward a long-term strategy for the construction of ecological civilization which can be described as ＂The eco- logical civilization construction should be placed in a prominent position to build China into a beautiful country and gain a lasting and sustainable development through making great efforts to carry out green development, circular development and low-carbon development. ＂ Moreover, leadership of CPC cen-tral committee pointed out repeatedly that we should seize the development opportunity in the era of low carbon to promote the ＂Green New Deal＂ and develop green economy. The value, capacity and support of the ＂Green New Deal＂ were analyzed based on the ＂three-circle＂ theory, a development planning on the factors of the ＂three-circle＂ for carrying out the ＂Green New Deal＂ in China was con-structed by using scenario analysis method, an axle with five strategies model taking evaluation, strengthening, collaboration, breaking out and sustainability as cores was proposed to promote the ro- tation of ＂Green New Deal＂ of the government in China.