摘要
自然灾害的发生具有突发性、周期性和区域性,为了更好的应对突发的自然灾害,达到减少伤亡人数的目的。文中首先针对洪涝灾害后应急物流的物料需求预测,以灰色理论预测受灾人数,然后再用安全库存的方法预测受灾区的物料需求,从而快速的响应灾害的发生,对防灾抗灾提出指导性的应对策略。
Natural disasters are unexpected,periodic and regional.To better respond to unexpected natural disasters and reduce causalities,the author firstly predicted demands of emergency logistics for materials after flood and forecasted the number of affected population with grey system theory.Then,flood-stricken areas’material demands were predicted based on safe stock, so as to rapidly respond to the disaster.Finally,instructive countermeasures were proposed for disaster prevention.
出处
《物流工程与管理》
2014年第3期98-100,62,共4页
Logistics Engineering and Management
基金
北京市属高等学校人才强教计划资助项目资助(PHR201106133.)
北京市教委科研计划项目资助(71E1310971)
关键词
洪涝
灰色理论
需求预测
安全库存
flood
grey theory
demand forecasting
safety stock
