摘要
2013年小麦收获上市以来,价格整体呈现上涨趋势。与2012年相比,小麦的供给和需求结构均发生了一定的改变,导致小麦价格上涨节奏出现变化。随着小麦市场化程度的提高,政策性因素对价格走势的影响有所减弱,供求关系成为主导小麦价格的首要因素。预计2014年新麦上市之前,小麦供求整体平衡,价格走势将以稳为主。
Wheat price has generally run a rising trend since wheat coming into market after the harvest in 2013. Unlike 2012, the supply-demand structure of wheat has changed, which resulted in the rising rhythm of wheat price altering. As marketization degree of wheat improving, policy influence on price has faded, and the supply and demand situation has become the dominant factor of wheat price. Look forward to 2014, before new wheat coming into market, the supply and demand of wheat is supposed to be generally balanced and wheat price will also maintain steady.
出处
《农业展望》
2014年第3期4-8,14,共6页
Agricultural Outlook
关键词
小麦市场
供求结构
托市收购
市场化
作物状况
wheat market
supply-demand structure
prop acquisition
marketization
crop condition