基于组合预测模型的物流需求预测实证研究

Empirical Study on Forecasting of Logistics Demand Based on Combinatorial Forecasting Model

以回归预测、灰色理论预测和简单组合预测3种预测方法为基础,引入三种预测相结合的组合预测模型,并以浙江省农副产品出口贸易的物流需求为例,对我国区域物流需求的发展进行预测。实证结果表明,浙江省农副产品的贸易具有强劲的增势,其物流需求具有很大的市场空间。

In this paper, on the basis of the three forecasting methods, we introduced the combinatorial forecasting model that incorporated the three and then, in the case of the logistics demand in the export trade of the agricultural and sideline products of Zhejiang as the example, carried out a forecasting of the development of the regional logistics industry in China. The result showed that the agricultural and sideline product trade of Zhejiang was growing vigorously and the logistics demand of the market had great room to expand into.